Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Yanlord
Tuesday, November 8, 2011
Genting Sp
Tuesday, October 11, 2011
Stocks hitting resistance
Sembmar currently trading at 3.63, has hit the resistance at 3.66 this morning. Similar chart like kepcorp. Major trend still downtrend, facing resistance.
Tuesday, October 4, 2011
Thursday, September 15, 2011
Outlook
Thursday, September 1, 2011
Indoagri - Parallel Channel
Monday, August 22, 2011
Bearish Stock
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Death Cross
Thursday, August 11, 2011
Falling knife
As mentioned on our daily email STI has fallen below the major support 2920, before we go above this level we should be cautious and wait for reversal signal! Don't anyhow buy lower and lower, averaging down is for long term investor who can hold for few years to do(using cash, not CFD), not for the common people who have only 1 set of fund. Again, always apply stoploss.
For market to turn there are a few signs to note:1) The decline in index need to slow down, not falling by 100 points a day for Dow Jones. That is the first sign of a turning point.
2) A decline in volume on down days. This is a sign that Bear players are diminishing.
3) 3 consecutive green daily candles. This is a sign of return in confidence. Blue chip up 4 out of 5 day.
Wednesday, August 3, 2011
Market Outlook
Monday, August 1, 2011
Market Outlook
Monday, July 25, 2011
Biosensor
Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Semb Corp
SembCorp closed 4.96. Had a hammer candlesticks yesterday, actually today is a good entry point as the stock is just slightly above previous day high. I always believe the opportunities always come when there is uncertainties. As we are going for mid term trade 2weeks-3mth, tomorrow it will still be a good entry point if the stock move higher. Stoploss can place at 4.80.
Thursday, July 7, 2011
STI Outlook
Monday, June 20, 2011
STI at channel support & Oversold
Wednesday, June 8, 2011
Did you follow my previous post?
Thursday, June 2, 2011
Cosco Corp double top?
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
Exit Strategy
- Size of your profits
- Size of your losses
- Length of your trades
- Amount of your risk
- Size of your position
- Your percentage of winners
- Your total return
- We have unrealistic expectations
- We expect to sell at tops
- We tend to apply too much hindsight
- We sense lack of control
- We can enter trades on our own terms
- We must exit trades on terms set by the market
Friday, May 20, 2011
Singapore on headline of Marketwatch!
Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Bearish Stock
Capitaland closed 3.15, Long term/midterm/ short term all down trend one of the most bearish stock in sgx. We have a Short signal in our system, can consider to short if it move 1bid below previous day low. Stoploss can put at 3.22, if can break below 3.08 i think there will be more meat below.
Sunday, May 15, 2011
RafflesMG moving quietly
Saturday, May 14, 2011
Learning from Guru - Paul Tudor Jones
- Contrarian attempt to buy and sell turning points. Keeps trying the single trade idea until he changes his mind, fundamentally. Otherwise, he keeps cutting his position size down. Then he trades the smallest amount when his trading is at its worst.
- Considers himself as a premier market opportunist. When he develops an idea, he pursues it from a very-low-risk standpoint until he has been proven wrong repeatedly, or until he changes his viewpoint.
- Swing trader, the best money is made at the market turns. Has missed a lot of meat in the middle, but catches a lot of tops and bottoms.
- Spends his day making himself happy and relaxed. Gets out if a losing position is making him uncomfortable. Nothing’s better than a fresh start. Key is to play great defense, not great offense.
- Never average losers. Decreases his trading size when he is doing poorly, increase when he is trading well.
- He has mental stops. If it hits that number, he is out no matter what. He uses not only price stops, but time stops.
- Monitors the whole portfolio equity (risk) in realtime.
- He believes prices move first and fundamentals come second.
- He doesn’t care about mistakes made 3 seconds ago, but what he is going to do from the next moment on.
- Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead.
Wednesday, May 11, 2011
Manhattanres and Z-obee Chart
Tuesday, May 3, 2011
Gallant and Ausgroup chart
Thursday, April 28, 2011
Hi-P
Tuesday, April 26, 2011
Gallant, Brightwor, Osim
Brightwor, have gone sideway for quite a long time after a period of uptrend. Recently it breakout from the sideway trend with high volume, signifying there is strength continue with the uptrend. Result coming out 29 apr, AGM on 28, Ex Div 10 May.
Osim International said first- quarter profit more than doubled to $20.1 million. Sales in the three months ended March 31 rose 16% to $149 million, the Singapore-based company said in a statement after the close of trading today.(bloomberg)
Tuesday, April 19, 2011
Genting Sp follow up.
CapmallsAsia downtrend channel
Monday, April 18, 2011
Bearish Stock to Short
Friday, April 8, 2011
Chinaminzhong
Tuesday, April 5, 2011
SIA Engg
Monday, April 4, 2011
Genting Sp
Thursday, March 31, 2011
Biosensor
Biosensor, after forming a low in the February market correction, the stocks rallied and break above the upper downtrend line forming a “high” point and then retrace to form another low. As this low point is higher than the February low, this is what we mention by a “Higher Low”. Having the 2 low points we can connect the 2 points to draw a uptrend support line for this stock, if there is more than 20 trading day(1month) between the 2 point, we will consider this as a mid-term trend. Another point to note is that this stock make a Higher low when STI is forming a lower low, this show that this stock has a “Stronger” trend than the market(STI). As market now is in overbought region, suggest to buy less than normal position if you want to buy.
Wednesday, March 30, 2011
STI outlook
STI +38 to close at 3095 today. Immediate resistant will be at 3100 and major support remains at 2920.
STI hit 3100 resistant today and retrace to close at 3095 which is above 200MA. Long term wise, we see some light, don’t worry of losing out to those who bought lower because if this confirm to be end of the downtrend, It is also beginning of uptrend so lets move in the market slowly (Buy with 10-30% of capital now for 1-3month trade). It will be better if we can see STI profit taking back to 3050-3000 level and turn back up. I am looking for a Higher High and a Higher Low to form in the index to confirm uptrend.
But short term the overall market(Global) is in an overbought position hence we do not think now is a good time to enter.
Wednesday, March 23, 2011
Wilmar, Noble Group: Swing Short
Wednesday, March 16, 2011
STI outlook- red alert!
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Bearish Stock
STI is now below 200ma, if the index continue to stay below 3000 level for this 2week, we might be at the end of the 2year+bull run
Thursday, March 10, 2011
STI outlook
STI -10 to closed at 3092, immediate resistant will be at 3120 which is the 50% retracement level of the index’s 315pt correction during the Jan-Feb period and support will be at 3060.
Today pullback is normal so that it will give chance for those who missed out to buy again. So long STI stays above 200MA, we expect more upside for STI. If STI breaking above 3120, we shall see the index find it resistant at 3160, and with current market sentiment we believe it will reach 3220.
Sembmar, Semb Corp, Kep Corp, STI etf are still in play, take opportunity to buy on dips while STI is pulled back.
Long term: can look at UOB, Kep Corp,
Short term: can consider UMS,Brightwor,Osim only buy if price rise above previous day high!
Sunday, March 6, 2011
Semb Corp, Kep Corp
Saturday, February 26, 2011
STI outlook
First of all, thank you those who have attended our monthly client seminars on Thursday, hope that you have benefited from our 3hr sessions and bring back some knowledge of trading. We will be having a more exciting topic next month, do keep a look out on our emails or sms. =)
STI jumped 52 points on Friday! Many will ask if this is a dead cat bounce or a real rebound. Well, I have to say that it is hard to tell with just 1 day of rebound but whether real or not realwhat is important for us to know is to buy or not to buy?
From the STI index chart, we analyse and found the following points(disclaimer, just for your info) :
- - If you are have seen STI on 15 years chart you will see that the 200ma is very significant line to determine the long term trend, now we are still below 200ma (200 days moving average)
- - If we buy when STI cross above 200ma, we have 80% chance that the index will rally for at least the next 3month(base on STI chart 10year).
- - Currently the 200ma is sitting at 3052
- - From the lowest point, we might see consolidation for 1 week before the bear turn into bull
- - The last year correction STI went 127pt below 200ma, we went 90pt below this time.
Our advise is to slowly accumulate if you are aggressive investor, maybe you can load 30% of your money into stocks now. *** Make a stoploss if you are wrong, do not lose more than 5% of your capital each time. If you are conservative investor wait to see STI go above 3052.
Long term: STI ETF, Kep Corp, Starhub, M1
Mid-term: Sunvic, Hi-P
Short Term: UIC, Thinkenv, Ramba
Lastly, stay away from those stocks that have drop tremendously (52weeks low), Wilmar, yanlord, tigerair, SIA…… a lot more. Do not buy these stocks..
Keep in mind: What goes up, will come down. What goes down, may not come up!!
Have a great weekend!
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
Hi-P, ChipEngS
Monday, February 21, 2011
Ramba
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Market Sentiment
STI +14 close at 3094, resistant will be at 3120 and if break above this level we will see more upside. However if it fail to stay above 3120 then the rebound is not sustainable and traders must remain cautious! First support will be at 3060, follow by the 3000.
Why we said any good buying opportunity would be when the STI reaches around 3000 & 2980? First if ST break below 3060(the 200ma) there will probably be a heavy sell down to the next support level which is likely to be 3000 & 2980. Second US market has been very bullish since Dec last year without significant pullback, if it does pullback it will definitely affect regional market, thus STI breaking below 3060 may be possible. If market sentiments continue to be bad, short the property counters!
Good stocks to look at if market turns around: Kep Corp, SGX, CoscoCorp, SembCorp, Sembmar, NOL, Noble Grp... if you want diversification, can look at STI etf
Friday, February 11, 2011
STI broke crucial support!
STI down 47, to 3103 today! The 3120 did not hold as well as i expected. As this crucial support has been broken, we might see further downside in the next 2-5days. The next support can be found at 3050 and follow by 3000. Many asked why the market drop, well there are many reason here and there (china rate hike, US market 8days winning streak may end with correction or maybe a lousy budget announcement). Well.. i believe many shortist had entered short position when STI crosses 3120 which escalate the plunge across the board(My view la). So next is to find, where will they cover shorts?